Global Economic News & Analysis

Key Economic Indicators

3.2%
US GDP GROWTH
▲ Q4 2024
3.4%
UNEMPLOYMENT
▼ 0.1pp
2.8%
INFLATION (CPI)
▲ 0.2pp
5.50%
FED FUNDS RATE
— UNCHANGED

Latest Economic News

Federal Reserve Maintains Hawkish Stance Despite Cooling Inflation

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 5.5%, signaling continued vigilance on inflation despite recent improvements in price stability. Chair Powell emphasized the committee's commitment to achieving the 2% inflation target.

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US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations with 250K New Positions

The labor market demonstrated continued resilience with stronger-than-anticipated employment gains across multiple sectors. Wage growth accelerated to 4.2% year-over-year, complicating the Fed's inflation fight.

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Congressional Budget Office Warns of Rising Deficit Trajectory

The CBO projects federal deficits will exceed $2 trillion annually within five years without policy changes. Rising interest costs and entitlement spending drive the concerning fiscal outlook.

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Trade Deficit Narrows as Export Growth Outpaces Imports

The US trade deficit decreased 8% in December as robust global demand boosted American exports. Manufacturing shipments to Europe and Asia showed particular strength.

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Retail Sales Surge 1.2% as Holiday Shopping Extends into January

Consumer spending remained robust through early January, defying seasonal patterns. Strong employment and wage growth continue to support household consumption despite elevated interest rates.

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Housing Starts Rebound as Mortgage Rates Stabilize Near 7%

Residential construction activity increased 4% in December as builders adapted to the higher interest rate environment. Multi-family projects drove the majority of growth.

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ISM Manufacturing Index Returns to Expansion Territory

Factory activity expanded for the first time in six months as new orders increased. The manufacturing sector shows signs of stabilization following an extended period of contraction.

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European Central Bank Signals End to Rate Hiking Cycle

ECB President Lagarde indicated the bank has likely finished raising rates, with eurozone inflation approaching the 2% target. The focus shifts to determining how long to maintain restrictive policy.

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